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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 39.6% | 24.11% | 36.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( | 41.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( | 63.86% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% | 53.89% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( | 22.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( | 56.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.29% |