Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax

Horemans (45+1'), Agrafiotis (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brobbey (25'), Klaassen (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Monday, August 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Ajax
20.95% ( 0.06)	20.22% ( 0.08)	58.82% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 62.94% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.33% (

-0.34)

33.67% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.51% (

-0.39)

55.49% (

0.39)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

-0.15)

29.03% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.18)

64.94% (

0.18)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.68% (

-0.14)

11.31% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.03% (

-0.31)

35.97% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 20.95%

Ajax 58.82%

Draw 20.22%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.95%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.22%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 58.82%