Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Anderlecht	Draw	Ajax
30.2% ( -0.05)	22.79% ( 0.02)	47.01% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.89% (

-0.1)

37.11% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

-0.11)

59.31% (

0.11)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.08)

24.12% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.12)

58.42% (

0.12)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

-0.02)

16.2% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.32% (

-0.04)

45.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Anderlecht 30.2%

Ajax 47.01%

Draw 22.79%

Anderlecht	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.2%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.01%