Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.25%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 3.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.4%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Den Bosch
89.25% ( -0.09)	7.42% ( 0.06)	3.33% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.29% (

-0.19)

20.7% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.91% (

-0.27)

39.09% (

0.27)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.2% (

-0.04)

2.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.18% (

-0.14)

12.81% (

0.14)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.74% (

-0.04)

52.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.83% (

-0.02)

86.17% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ajax 89.24%

Den Bosch 3.33%

Draw 7.42%

Ajax	Draw	Den Bosch
3-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 7-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 8-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.53% Total : 89.24%	1-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 7.42%	1-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 3.33%