Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.