De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
Den Bosch

de Jong (15', 37'), Haen (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Den Bosch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 2-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 2-2 Almere City
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawDen Bosch
69.17% (-0.78400000000001 -0.78)17.81% (0.54 0.54)13.01% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-1.33 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.67% (-2.05 -2.05)37.33% (2.046 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.45% (-2.244 -2.24)59.54% (2.239 2.24)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.724 -0.72)9.76% (0.719 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53% (-1.703 -1.7)32.47% (1.698 1.7)
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (-0.992 -0.99)40.45% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (-0.911 -0.91)77.07% (0.907 0.91)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 69.16%
    Den Bosch 13.01%
    Draw 17.81%
De GraafschapDrawDen Bosch
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.611 0.61)
3-0 @ 8.29% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.169 -0.17)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.16%
1-1 @ 8.31% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.38 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.81%
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.256 0.26)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.01%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7pm
gameweek 14
Den Bosch
2-1
De Graafschap
Konings (40'), Van den Bogert (63')
Buttner (14')
Brittijn (77')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
gameweek 14
Den Bosch
2-1
De Graafschap
Kuijpers (26'), Ahannach (72')
Fortes (21')
Feb 6, 2021 1pm
gameweek 23
Den Bosch
2-3
De Graafschap
Postema (12', 71')
van Zutphen (80')
Van Heertum (8'), Van de Pavert (45+1'), Lelieveld (67')
Opoku (77'), van de Pavert (83')
Aug 31, 2020 7pm
gameweek 1
De Graafschap
4-2
Den Bosch
Van Huizen (45+1'), Van Mieghem (59'), Lieftink (62'), Opoku (79')
Opoku (83')
Lelieveld (53' og.), Hornkamp (80')
Hornkamp (33'), Felida (67'), van der Heijden (72')