Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35

Apr 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
3 - 2
De Graafschap

Kabangu (35'), van Berkel (68'), Bokila (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brittijn (54'), Neghli (57')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions

Last Game: De Graafschap 0-1 ADO Den Haag
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	De Graafschap
48.45% ( -0.18)	23.7% ( 0.16)	27.85% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.06% (

-0.73)

42.94% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

-0.73)

65.34% (

0.73)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.35)

17.88% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

-0.6)

48.66% (

0.61)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.36)

28.62% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

-0.45)

64.43% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Willem II 48.45%

De Graafschap 27.85%

Draw 23.7%

Willem II	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.85%