Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
Willem II
Apr 29, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • Elton Kabangu 35' goal
  • Niels van Berkel 68' goal
  • Jeremy Bokila 71' goal
  • goal Philip Brittijn 54'
  • goal Camiel Neghli 57'

Willem II vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2023 1.30pm
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 7.00pm
De Graafschap 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Camiel Neghli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result

Willem II 48.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 23.7% ▲ (+0.17)
De Graafschap 27.85% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.61% ▼ (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.06% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 2.5 42.94% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 3.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 4.5 18.01% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 4.5 81.99% ▲ (+0.55)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 82.12% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 17.88% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 51.34% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 48.66% ▲ (+0.61)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 71.38% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.62% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 1.5 35.57% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 64.43% ▲ (+0.46)

Score analysis

Willem II 48.45%
Draw 23.7%
De Graafschap 27.85%
Willem II
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.7%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
De Graafschap
Dec 16, 2022 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Willem II
  • goal Elton Kabangu 23'
  • goal Rio Hillen 77' (OG)
  • goal Max Svensson 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Willem II
Mar 9, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
De Graafschap
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 22' goal
  • Fernando Lewis 64' goal
  • Marious Vrousai 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ted van de Pavert 21'
  • goal Bart Straalman 33'
  • goal Youssef El Jebli 70'
  • yellowcard Erik Bakker 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Jebli 92'
  • yellowcard Daryl van Mieghem 92'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
De Graafschap
Sep 30, 2018 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)
Willem II
  • Stef Nijland 21' goal
  • Myenty Abena 57' yellowcard
  • Fernando Lewis 89' goal
  • yellowcard Damil Dankerlui 11'
  • redcard Atakan Akkaynak 18'
  • yellowcard Freek Heerkens 20'
  • yellowcard Diego Palacios 27'
  • yellowcard Fernando Lewis 33'
  • goal Dries Saddiki 49'
  • redcard Diego Palacios 64'
Eredivisie
Willem II
Feb 13, 2016 6.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
De Graafschap
  • yellowcard Lion Kaak 31'
  • yellowcard Tolgahan Cicek 63'
Eredivisie
De Graafschap
Sep 27, 2015 11.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Willem II
  • Alexander Bannink 35' yellowcard
  • Jan Hammes 64' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bannink 65' redcard
  • Cas Peters 68' goal
  • Vincent Vermeij 90' goal
  • yellowcard Funso Ojo 7'
  • goal Erik Falkenburg 41'
  • goal Erik Falkenburg 43'

Form Data

NAC Breda 1 - 1 Willem II
Willem II 4 - 0 Oss
Willem II 2 - 1 VVV-Venlo
Den Bosch 0 - 2 Willem II
Willem II 2 - 0 MVV
ADO Den Haag 1 - 3 Willem II
De Graafschap 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag
Oss 3 - 3 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 5 - 3 Heracles
Jong AZ 0 - 1 De Graafschap
Jong PSV 2 - 1 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 0 - 1 PEC Zwolle