Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
De Graafschap

Jong AZ
0 - 1
De Graafschap

FT(HT: 0-1)
Buttner (43' pen.)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 2-1 De Graafschap
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 0-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
Jong AZDrawDe Graafschap
21.85% (-0.407 -0.41)20.62% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)57.53% (0.467 0.47)
Both teams to score 62.84% (-0.382 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)34.39% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (-0.267 -0.27)56.31% (0.263 0.26)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.477 -0.48)28.67% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)64.49% (0.599 0.6)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)11.89% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (0.115 0.12)37.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 21.85%
    De Graafschap 57.53%
    Draw 20.62%
Jong AZDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.66% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.126 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.28% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.65% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.92% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 57.53%

How you voted: Jong AZ vs De Graafschap

Jong AZ
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
De Graafschap
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
De Graafschap
2-0
Jong AZ
Benschop (13'), De Jong (53')
Buttner (18')
Mar 4, 2022 7pm
De Graafschap
0-0
Jong AZ
Sep 13, 2021 7pm
Jong AZ
2-1
De Graafschap
Koopmeiners (13'), Barasi (61')
Berkhout (52')
Lieftink (48')
Fortes (90+4')
Feb 26, 2021 8pm
De Graafschap
1-1
Jong AZ
Van Mieghem (43')
van Huizen (78')
Velthuis (79')
Duin (40'), Berkhout (88')
Sep 21, 2020 5.45pm
Jong AZ
7-3
De Graafschap
Taabouni (14', 41'), Aboukhlal (21', 80'), Oosting (29'), Evjen (38'), Reijnders (71')
Velthuis (45+1'), Goudmijn (56'), Evjen (66')
Evjen (77')
Seuntjens (44'), Lieftink (50'), Van Mieghem (78')
Lelieveld (62')