Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.