Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Ajax
25.34% ( 0.01)	21.66% ( 0.01)	52.99% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.57% (

-0.05)

35.42% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.54% (

-0.05)

57.46% (

0.05)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.02)

26.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.02)

61.68% (

0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

-0.03)

13.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

-0.05)

40.66% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 25.34%

Ajax 52.99%

Draw 21.66%

Augsburg	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.34%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.99%