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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
| 50.19% ( | 23.47% ( | 26.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( | 43.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( | 65.42% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( | 17.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( | 47.57% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.35% |