Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Kevin Kampl 10' goal
  • Timo Werner 32' goal
  • Timo Werner 35' goal
  • goal Arne Maier 5'
  • goal Ruben Vargas 82'

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 3 FC Koln
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mergim Berisha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 74.04% (-0.08)
Draw 15.68% (+0.04)
Augsburg 10.28% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.26% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.41% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 34.58% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 43.47% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 56.52% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 24.99% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 75% (+0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 92.02% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 7.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 71.86% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 28.13% (+0.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 56.79% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.46% (-0.01)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 74.03%
Draw 15.68%
Augsburg 10.28%
RB Leipzig
2-0 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.71% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.87% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.97% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 74.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.31% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 15.68%
Augsburg
1-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 10.28%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mergim Berisha 34' goal
  • Ermedin Demirovic 51' goal
  • Ruben Vargas 64' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 73'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 89'
  • goal Hugo Novoa 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 36' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 40' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 48' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 57' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 64' goal
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 72'
  • yellowcard Lasse Gunther 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Niklas Dorsch 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Caligiuri 86' goal
  • Noah Sarenren Bazee 87' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Silva 19'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dani Olmo 38' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 41' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 43' goal
  • Willi Orban 62' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reece Oxford 3'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 22'
  • yellowcard Marek Suchy 28'
  • yellowcard Rafal Gikiewicz 34'
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 63'
  • goal Daniel Caligiuri 77'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT WWK Arena
  • Iago 8' yellowcard
  • goal Willi Orban 11'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 73'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 75'
  • goal Angelino 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Angelino 45'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 60'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 66'