/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fauglog.png)
-
Joao Cancelo
15'
-
Benjamin Pavard
18'
-
Benjamin Pavard
35'
-
Leroy Sane
45'
-
Alphonso Davies
74'
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Mergim Berisha
2'
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Mergim Berisha
60'
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Irvin Cardona
90'+3'
Bayern Munich vs Augsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fbaypsg_2.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
88.63%
▼
(-0.81)
Draw
7.5%
▲
(+0.51)
Augsburg
3.86%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
52.71%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
82.73%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 2.5
17.26%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 3.5
65.91%
▼
(-2.02)
Under 3.5
34.08%
▲
(+2.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
97.6%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
2.39%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
88.66%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 1.5
11.33%
▲
(+1.02)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5
54%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
45.99%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
18.28%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
81.71%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
88.63%
Draw
7.5%
Augsburg
3.86%
Bayern Munich
3-0
@
9.54%
▲
(+0.27)
4-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.45)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.32)
5-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.21)
6-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.28)
1-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.36)
6-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.23)
5-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.09)
7-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.19)
6-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.10)
8-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 88.63%
4-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.45)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.32)
5-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.21)
6-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.28)
1-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.36)
6-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.23)
5-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.09)
7-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.19)
6-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.10)
8-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 88.63%
Draw
1-1
@
3.19%
▲
(+0.27)
2-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-96.40)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 7.5%
2-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-96.40)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 7.5%
Augsburg
1-2
@
1.24%
▲
(+0.10)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 3.86%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 3.86%
