Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern5 - 3Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Augsburg
We expect Bayern to cruise to a comfortable victory against one of their local rivals Augsburg, whose away form has been wretched for most of the current campaign. However, with this being the reigning champions' third match within six days, Nagelsmann may ask his players to take their foot off the gas ahead of travelling to Bayer Leverkusen next weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
88.63% ( -0.81) | 7.5% ( 0.51) | 3.86% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
