Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 3
Augsburg

Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Berisha (2', 60' pen.), Cardona (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Augsburg
88.63% ( -0.81)	7.5% ( 0.51)	3.86% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.73% (

-1.32)

17.26% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.91% (

-2.01)

34.08% (

2.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.6% (

-0.27)

2.39% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.66% (

-1.02)

11.33% (

1.01)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54% (

-0.18)

45.99% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.28% (

-0.14)

81.71% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 88.63%

Augsburg 3.86%

Draw 7.5%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Augsburg
3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2) 6-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.36) 6-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 2% ( -0.09) 7-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.18) 6-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.14) Other @ 5.23% Total : 88.63%	1-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.9% Total : 7.5%	1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 3.86%