Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dion Beljo 5' goal
  • Arne Maier 46' goal
  • goal Jens Stage 16'

Augsburg vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mergim Berisha

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 3 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.

Result

Augsburg 37.81% (-0.54)
Draw 25.08% (-0.06)
Werder Bremen 37.1% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.96% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 46.03% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.66% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.34% (-0.25)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 75.99% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 24% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 41.74% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 58.25% (+0.24)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 75.61% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 24.38% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 41.2% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 58.79% (-0.63)

Score analysis

Augsburg 37.81%
Draw 25.08%
Werder Bremen 37.1%
Augsburg
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 8.32% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 8.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.91% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.74% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.38% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 37.1%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 63'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ruben Vargas 13' redcard
  • Rafal Gikiewicz 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rani Khedira 57' goal
  • Marco Richter 65' yellowcard
  • Daniel Caligiuri 90' goal
  • Andre Hahn 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 42'
  • redcard Christian Gross 49'
  • yellowcard Niklas Moisander 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theodor Gebre Selassie 84' goal
  • Felix Agu 87' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Caligiuri 32'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT WWK ARENA
  • Florian Niederlechner 67' goal
  • Daniel Baier 76' yellowcard
  • Ruben Vargas 82' goal
  • Philipp Max 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tin Jedvaj 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 48'
  • yellowcard Omer Toprak 66'
  • yellowcard Fin Bartels 69'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 74'
  • yellowcard Davie Selke 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2019 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • Yuya Osako 6' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 21' goal
  • Yuya Osako 67' goal
  • Jiri Pavlenka 92' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Vargas 12'
  • yellowcard Stephan Lichtsteiner 23'
  • yellowcard Ruben Vargas 26'
  • redcard Stephan Lichtsteiner 34'
  • goal Ruben Vargas 46'
  • yellowcard Florian Niederlechner 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2019 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Weserstadion (Bremen)
  • Milot Rashica 5' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 27' goal
  • Milot Rashica 28' goal
  • Kevin Mohwald 83' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Baier 56'