Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Niclas Fullkrug 29' goal
  • Niklas Schmidt 43' goal
  • Marvin Ducksch 59' goal

Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 5.30pm
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 0 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Philipp Hofmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 43.61% (+0.37)
Draw 24.1% (-0.09)
VfL Bochum 32.29% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.59% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 42.41% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 35.18% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 64.82% (-0.30)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 80.34% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 19.65% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 48.37% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 51.63% (-0.46)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 74.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.44% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 60.26% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 43.61%
Draw 24.1%
VfL Bochum 32.29%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.62% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.1%
VfL Bochum
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Zoller 39' yellowcard
  • Vassilios Lambropoulos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Weiser 33'
  • yellowcard Amos Pieper 69'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 86'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 90'+2'