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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
VfL Bochum

Werder Bremen
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Fullkrug (29'), Schmidt (43'), Ducksch (59')
Friedl (45+1'), Pieper (47'), Jung (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Schlotterbeck (45+1'), Hofmann (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 VfL Bochum

Neither side will be at full strength due to a combination of injury and suspension issues, but we still expect Werder to edge to victory given Bochum's wretched record on the road this season. The relegation strugglers have lost 10 of their 11 away games in the Bundesliga, conceding 32 goals and scoring only seven. Having blanked in his last three matches, Niclas Fullkrug will surely sense an opportunity to add to his tally of 13 league goals so far this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawVfL Bochum
43.61% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 24.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 32.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.9% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.29 0.29)42.41% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.288 0.29)64.82% (-0.291 -0.29)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.27799999999999 0.28)19.65% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.454 0.45)51.63% (-0.456 -0.46)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)25.44% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 43.61%
    VfL Bochum 32.29%
    Draw 24.1%
Werder BremenDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum

Werder Bremen
80.4%
Draw
9.8%
VfL Bochum
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
0-2
Werder Bremen

Zoller (39'), Lambropoulos (90+1')
Fullkrug (86', 90+2')
Weiser (33'), Pieper (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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