Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.