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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 37.18% ( | 26.08% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( | 50.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( | 72.43% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( | 26.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( | 61.57% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( | 26.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( | 61.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.75% |