Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
6 - 1
FC Koln

Guerreiro (15'), Haller (17', 69'), Reus (32', 70'), Malen (36')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Selke (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	FC Koln
67.98% ( 0.46)	17.65% ( -0.3)	14.37% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.81% (

1.15)

33.19% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.05% (

1.31)

54.94% (

-1.31)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.05% (

0.41)

8.94% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.46% (

0.98)

30.53% (

-0.98)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

0.54)

35.82% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

0.55)

72.6% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.98%

FC Koln 14.37%

Draw 17.65%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.06% Total : 67.98%	1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.65%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 14.37%