Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.