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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Karazor (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marmoush (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Wolfsburg

Neither of these teams are strangers to drawing matches this season, with one third of their league games ending as a stalemate so far this campaign, including both last weekend. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils at the Mercedes-Benz Arena on Saturday, with the hosts having to fight for every point that they can collect between now and the end of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
45.74% (-0.68 -0.68) 24.39% (0.113 0.11) 29.87% (0.569 0.57)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (-0.192 -0.19)44.84% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (-0.185 -0.19)67.2% (0.185 0.19)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.363 -0.36)19.73% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (-0.592 -0.59)51.75% (0.593 0.59)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.29100000000001 0.29)28.19% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.367 0.37)63.88% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 45.74%
    Wolfsburg 29.87%
    Draw 24.39%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
Draw
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
28.6%
Draw
38.8%
Wolfsburg
32.7%
49
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Wimmer (42')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
Stuttgart
Brekalo (49')
Steffen (76'), Gerhardt (90+2')

Gonzalez (20'), Anton (48'), Mangala (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern28215281275468
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen28188263342962
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt28146855421348
4Mainz 05Mainz28137846321446
5RB Leipzig2812974435945
6Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach27134104440443
7Freiburg28126103844-642
8Borussia DortmundDortmund28125115243941
9Stuttgart28117105144740
10Werder Bremen28116114553-839
11Augsburg2810993139-839
12Wolfsburg2710894941838
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2786132540-1530
14Hoffenheim2869133452-1827
15St Pauli2774162233-1125
16Heidenheim2864183253-2122
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2855182859-3120
18Holstein Kiel2846183968-2918


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