Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stuttgart
1 - 3
Wolfsburg

Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Wolfsburg
31.22%	23.6%	45.18%

Both teams to score 61.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12%

62.88%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84%

25.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12%

59.88%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78%

18.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.75%

49.25%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 31.22%

Wolfsburg 45.18%

Draw 23.6%

Stuttgart	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 6.33% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.22%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.17% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.18%