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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 18.89% ( | 20.73% ( | 60.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( | 34.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( | 12.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( | 38.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 2-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-1 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.89% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0-5 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.37% |