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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (52')
Gulde (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngankam (77')
Ngankam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Even without Gregoritsch's towering presence and goalscoring touch in attack, we expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Hertha, who have been wretched on the road all season long. Whether Streich utilises a 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation is unlikely to matter too much, as his players are comfortable within either system, while their overall goal of a top-four finish looks set to drive them on between now and the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
61.03% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 20.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)40.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)39.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.56% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 61.03%
    Hertha Berlin 18.2%
    Draw 20.76%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin

Freiburg
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hertha Berlin
0.0%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Freiburg
Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')
Rogel (43')
Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Freiburg
Piatek (70')
Boateng (29'), Serdar (69'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Lienhart (17'), Petersen (78')
May 6, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Freiburg
Piatek (13'), Pekarik (22'), Radonjic (85')
Alderete (20'), Guendouzi (38'), Torunarigha (64'), Darida (69')

Hofler (36'), Demirovic (42'), Sallai (80')
Dec 20, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
Lukebakio (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Wolfsburg146353125621
8Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
10Stuttgart135532623320
11Werder Bremen135442024-419
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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