Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
54.72% ( -0.29) | 22.49% ( 0.1) | 22.79% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.96% ( -0.23) | 42.04% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.56% ( -0.23) | 64.44% ( 0.23) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% ( -0.18) | 15.29% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% ( -0.33) | 44% ( 0.33) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 0.05) | 32.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( 0.05) | 68.63% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |