Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maximilian Eggestein 5' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 89' goal
  • goal Angelo Stiller 48'

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach 0 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Mainz 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result

Freiburg 54.72% (-0.30)
Draw 22.49% (+0.10)
Hoffenheim 22.79% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.47% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.96% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 42.04% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 35.56% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 64.44% (+0.23)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 84.71% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 15.29% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 55.99% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 44% (+0.34)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.15% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 31.37% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.63% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Freiburg 54.72%
Draw 22.48%
Hoffenheim 22.79%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 54.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 5.94% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andrej Kramaric 32' goal
  • Diadie Samassekou 45' yellowcard
  • Angelo Stiller 49' goal
  • Sebastian Rudy 84' goal
  • goal Roland Sallai 23'
  • goal Christian Gunter 50'
  • goal Lucas Holer 70'
  • goal Jeong Woo-yeong 73'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Richards 32' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 53' goal
  • Dennis Geiger 79' yellowcard
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 10'
  • yellowcard Kevin Schade 27'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 35'
  • goal Kevin Schade 55'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 68'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Philipp Lienhart 16' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 21' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 87' yellowcard
  • Lucas Holer 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Christian Gunter 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal David Raum 3'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 38'
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 61'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 80'
  • goal Chris Richards 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 50' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 81' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 40'
  • yellowcard Ihlas Bebou 48'
  • yellowcard Diadie Samassekou 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Kevin Akpoguma 16' yellowcard
  • Ihlas Bebou 58' goal
  • Kevin Vogt 82' yellowcard
  • goal Baptiste Santamaria 7'
  • yellowcard Kwon Chang-hoon 24'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 34'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 36'
  • goal Kasim Adams 42' (OG)