Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stiller (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
54.72% ( -0.29)	22.49% ( 0.1)	22.79% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.96% (

-0.23)

42.04% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.56% (

-0.23)

64.44% (

0.23)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.71% (

-0.18)

15.29% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.99% (

-0.33)

44% (

0.33)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

0.05)

32.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

0.05)

68.63% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 54.72%

Hoffenheim 22.79%

Draw 22.48%

Freiburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.72%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.79%