Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.