Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andrej Kramaric 24' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 37' goal
  • Ihlas Bebou 51' goal
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 90'+2'

Hoffenheim vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 1 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 52.34% (+0.51)
Draw 23.07%
Hertha Berlin 24.59% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.68% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.23% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 42.77% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 34.82% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 65.17% (+0.48)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 83.62% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.37% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46% (-0.01)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 68.97% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 31.03% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 32.66% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 67.34% (+0.79)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 52.34%
Draw 23.06%
Hertha Berlin 24.59%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.19% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.32% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.27% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 52.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.08% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.06%
Hertha Berlin
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.95% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.59%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dodi Lukebakio 37' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 25'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Niklas Stark 39' goal
  • Peter Pekarik 50' yellowcard
  • Ishak Belfodil 63' goal
  • Lucas Tousart 74' goal
  • Marton Dardai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andrej Kramaric 19' goal
  • Sebastian Rudy 36' goal
  • Kevin Akpoguma 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Ascacibar 75'
  • redcard Dedryck Boyata 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sargis Adamyan 49' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 90'+1' goal
  • goal Vladimir Darida 43'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dodi Lukebakio 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mijat Gacinovic 25'
  • goal Sebastian Rudy 33'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 68'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT PreZero Arena
  • Christoph Baumgartner 48' yellowcard
  • Dennis Geiger 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Peter Pekarik 11'
  • yellowcard Dedryck Boyata 29'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 40'
  • goal Kevin Akpoguma 58' (OG)
  • goal Vedad Ibisevic 60'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 74'