Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz

Ngankam (18' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ajorque (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
36.1% ( -0.08)	26.06% ( 0.04)	37.84% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

-0.15)

50.44% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

-0.13)

72.37% (

0.13)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.12)

27% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-0.15)

62.35% (

0.15)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.05)

26.01% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

-0.07)

61.03% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 36.1%

Mainz 05 37.84%

Draw 26.06%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.1%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.84%