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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
36.1% ( -0.08) | 26.06% ( 0.04) | 37.84% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% ( -0.15) | 50.44% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% ( -0.13) | 72.37% ( 0.13) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.12) | 27% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( -0.15) | 62.35% ( 0.15) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.05) | 26.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.07) | 61.03% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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