Bundesliga
Gameweek
26
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-
Marcus Ingvartsen
9'
-
Ludovic Ajorque
57'
-
Dominik Kohr
67'
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result
RB Leipzig
61.87%
▼
(-0.19)
Draw
20.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Mainz 05
17.72%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
56.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.34%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
39.66%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
37.99%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
62.01%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
20.54%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
79.45%
▲
(+0.15)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
87.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
12.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
61.88%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
38.12%
▲
(+0.23)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
64.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
35.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
27.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
72.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
61.87%
Draw
20.4%
Mainz 05
17.72%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
9.93%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 61.87%
2-0 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 61.87%
Draw
1-1
@
9.49%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.4%
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.4%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
4.87%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.72%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
9
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
45'
-
Christopher Nkunku
80'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
18
-
Andre Silva
21'
-
Dominik Szoboszlai
47'
-
Christopher Nkunku
58'
-
Andre Silva
61'
-
Lee Jae-sung
16'
-
Alexander Hack
19'
-
Lee Jae-sung
57'
-
Stefan Bell
59'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
1
-
Moussa Niakhate
13'
-
Paul Nebel
48'
-
Bo Svensson
85'
-
Kevin Kampl
7'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
80'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
18
-
Moussa Niakhate
24'
-
Moussa Niakhate
35'
-
Moussa Niakhate
40'
-
Leandro Barreiro
50'
-
Danny da Costa
75'
-
Tyler Adams
15'
-
Marcel Halstenberg
23'
-
Marcel Halstenberg
30'
-
Tyler Adams
70'
-
Willi Orban
88'
-
Alexander Sorloth
90'+2'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
1
-
Emil Forsberg
17'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
21'
-
Amadou Haidara
51'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
64'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
30'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
48'
-
Danny Latza
58'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
27
-
Pierre Kunde
20'
-
Jeffrey Bruma
31'
-
Jeremiah St Juste
79'
-
Timo Werner
11'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
13'
-
Dayot Upamecano
17'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
23'
-
Timo Werner
35'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
36'
-
Timo Werner
48'
-
Timo Werner
75'