Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.