Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
3 - 0
Stuttgart

Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
57.3% ( 0.23)	22.61% ( -0.09)	20.09% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

0.19)

45.97% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

0.18)

68.28% (

-0.18)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

0.14)

15.79% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.06% (

0.26)

44.94% (

-0.26)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

-0.03)

36.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26% (

-0.03)

73.74% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 57.3%

Stuttgart 20.09%

Draw 22.61%

Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.09%