Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin3 - 0Stuttgart
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart
Despite there being 28 points and 15 positions separating these two teams prior to Saturday's encounter, we can envisage a closely-fought affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. As previously discussed, Stuttgart have found themselves on the wrong end of several tight games so far this season, and we can envisage a similar outcome with the hosts marginally prevailing this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
57.3% ( 0.23) | 22.61% ( -0.09) | 20.09% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
