Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
Union Berlin

Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Behrens (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, April 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
64.95%	19.77% ( -0)	15.28% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

-0)

41.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22%

63.78% (

-0)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01% (

-0)

11.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.58% (

37.41% (

-0)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17% (

-0)

39.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

-0)

76.49% (

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 64.94%

Union Berlin 15.28%

Draw 19.77%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 10.74% 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.65% Total : 64.94%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.77%	0-1 @ 4.39% 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.28%