Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Donyell Malen 28' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 79' goal
  • goal Kevin Behrens 61'

Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Bayern 4 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Union Berlin 3 - 0 Stuttgart
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Sheraldo Becker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 64.95%
Draw 19.77% (-0.01)
Union Berlin 15.28% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.38%
Over 3.5 36.22%
Under 3.5 63.78% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.18% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.81% (-0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 88.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.99%
Over 1.5 62.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.41% (-0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 60.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.5% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 64.94%
Draw 19.77%
Union Berlin 15.28%
Borussia Dortmund
2-0 @ 10.74%
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.22%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 64.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 19.77%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 4.39%
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.4%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.28%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Janik Haberer 8' goal
  • Janik Haberer 21' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Timo Baumgartl 35' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mohwald 76' yellowcard
  • Robin Knoche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Andras Schafer 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Reus 18'
  • goal Marco Reus 25'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 39'
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Raphael Guerreiro 10' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 24' goal
  • Mats Hummels 50' yellowcard
  • Marvin Friedrich 52' goal
  • Axel Witsel 57' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 83' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 15'
  • yellowcard Niko Giesselmann 50'
  • goal Max Kruse 57'
  • goal Andreas Voglsammer 81'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Reus 27' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 70' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 72' yellowcard
  • Raphael Guerreiro 88' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Knoche 48'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 18, 2020 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 57' goal
  • Marius Bulter 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Friedrich 78' goal
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 60'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Jadon Sancho 13' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • Axel Witsel 70' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 76' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 64'