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Bundesliga

VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Dortmund

Losilla (5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adeyemi (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
22.13% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)19.18% (-0.035 -0.04)58.69% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 68.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (0.10599999999999 0.11)47.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)58.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)9.26% (-0.052099999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.11799999999999 0.12)31.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 22.13%
    Borussia Dortmund 58.69%
    Draw 19.18%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.13%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.69%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Dortmund

VfL Bochum
6.5%
Draw
8.4%
Borussia Dortmund
85.1%
154
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
VfL Bochum
1-2
Dortmund
Stoger (64' pen.)
Janko (39'), Stoger (44'), Antwi-Adjej (75'), Riemann (90+7')
Can (45+1'), Reus (70')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Dortmund
3-0
VfL Bochum
Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)

Gamboa (54')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')