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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Dortmund
4 - 0
Frankfurt

Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Bellingham (54'), Adeyemi (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Lenz (12'), Kolo (24'), Rode (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

As was the case during the latter part of last season when they were chasing glory in the Europa League, Frankfurt appear to have checked out of the Bundesliga to some extent, as winning the DFB-Pokal is firmly within their sights. As such, we expect Dortmund to bounce back with a crucial victory, but it will not be enough to see them return to the top of the table unless Mainz can do them a favour by beating Bayern earlier in the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
67.7% (0.142 0.14) 17.46% (-0.041 -0.04) 14.84% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.55% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)52.53% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)8.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.63% (0.049999999999997 0.05)29.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (-0.16 -0.16)33.84% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.172 -0.17)70.51% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.7%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 14.84%
    Draw 17.46%
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 67.7%
1-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 14.84%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund
87.5%
Draw
9.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 27
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 10
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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