Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
33.07% ( -0.01)	22.34% ( -0.01)	44.59% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 66.81% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.49% (

0.03)

33.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.69% (

0.04)

55.31% (

-0.04)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.01)

20.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.02)

53.38% (

-0.02)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

0.02)

15.7% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22% (

0.03)

44.78% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 33.07%

Borussia Dortmund 44.59%

Draw 22.34%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 33.07%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.34%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.59%