/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Kacper Kozlowski
33'
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Nicolas Isimat-Mirin
36'
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Carlens Arcus
53'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
49'
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Vangelis Pavlidis
64'
Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmilos-kerkez.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
Vitesse
30.6%
▲
(+0.73)
Draw
25.73%
▲
(+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar
43.68%
▼
(-0.76)
Both Teams to Score:
53.6%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.69%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
50.31%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
27.74%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
72.26%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 4.5
13.14%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
86.86%
▼
(-0.12)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
69.56%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
30.45%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
33.35%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
66.65%
▼
(-0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
77.06%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
22.94%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
43.28%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 1.5
56.72%
▲
(+0.42)
Score analysis
Vitesse
30.6%
Draw
25.72%
AZ Alkmaar
43.67%
Vitesse
1-0
@
8.31%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
2-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
@
10.28%
▼
(-0.17)
1-2 @ 9% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.67%
1-2 @ 9% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.67%