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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
AZ Alkmaar

Zrinjski Mostar
4 - 3
AZ

Kozulj (48', 81'), Corluka (68'), Hrvanovic (71')
Jakovljevic (42'), Hrvanovic (71'), Rendulic (82+82'), Kozulj (83'), Bradaric (90')
FT(HT: 0-3)
van Brederode (10'), Mijnans (32'), de Wit (44')
Clasie (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zrinjski Mostar and AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 LASK
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa League
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AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawAZ Alkmaar
34.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)24.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)40.92% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.69% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)44.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.064 0.06)66.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.012 0.01)25.07% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.017000000000003 0.02)59.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.051999999999992 0.05)21.67% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)54.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 34.43%
    AZ Alkmaar 40.92%
    Draw 24.64%
Zrinjski MostarDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.92%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs AZ

Zrinjski Mostar
4.7%
Draw
9.3%
AZ Alkmaar
86.0%
43