Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Slovan Bratislava

Zrinjski Mostar
0 - 1
Slovan Bratislava


Canadija (45+1'), Jakovljevic (52'), Kozulj (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sharani (53')
Barseghyan (39'), Lovat (79'), Borjan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 49%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
49% (0.1 0.1)24.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)26.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.061999999999998 0.06)49.86% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)30.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)66.78% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 49%
    Slovan Bratislava 26.91%
    Draw 24.08%
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Slovan Bratislava

Zrinjski Mostar
20.0%
Draw
31.1%
Slovan Bratislava
48.9%
45
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2022 7.30pm
Playoffs 2nd Leg
Slovan Bratislava
2-1
Zrinjski Mostar
Slovan Bratislava win 6-5 on penalties
Ramirez (67', 120+2')
Kashia (65'), Kankava (82'), Kucka (85'), Chakvetadze (90+4'), Abena (112')
Kankava (118')
Savic (103')
Jankovic (45+4'), Bilbija (82'), Mandic (87')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Zrinjski Mostar
1-0
Slovan Bratislava
Bilbija (89')

Barseghyan (51'), Agbo (53'), Krizan (85'), Zmrhal (90+2')
Barseghyan (69')