Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovan Bratislava in this match.