Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Yerevan Football Academy Stadium

Pyunik
2 - 0
Zalgiris

Juninho (44'), Otubanjo (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Pyunik and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Zalgiris 0-1 Basel
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.

Result
FC PyunikDrawFK Zalgiris
37.12% (-0.11 -0.11)28.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)34.46% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 46.5% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (0.055 0.05)59.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)80.1% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)30.95% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)67.25% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (0.11 0.11)32.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (0.123 0.12)69.2% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Pyunik 37.12%
    FK Zalgiris 34.46%
    Draw 28.4%
FC PyunikDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Pyunik vs Zalgiris

FC Pyunik
78.4%
Draw
10.8%
FK Zalgiris
10.8%
37
rhs 2.0


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