Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.