UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

LFF Stadium

Zalgiris
2 - 1
Pyunik

Ourega (23'), Oliveira (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ozbiliz (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FK Zalgiris and FC Pyunik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

FC Pyunik

Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	FC Pyunik
46.73% ( -0.38)	26.14% ( -0.07)	27.12% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26% (

0.55)

53.74% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

0.46)

75.22% (

-0.46)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

0.06)

22.97% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

0.08)

56.76% (

-0.08)

FC Pyunik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

0.67)

34.84% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

0.7)

71.58% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 46.73%

FC Pyunik 27.12%

Draw 26.14%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	FC Pyunik
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.12%