Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.