Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Urartu win it was 1-0 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.