Champions League header

Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 4pm UK
Urartu Stadium

Urartu
0 - 1
Zrinjski Mostar

FT(HT: 0-0)
Senic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Urartu and Zrinjski Mostar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urartu

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Urartu 0-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Zrinjski Mostar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Urartu win it was 1-0 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.

Result
UrartuDrawZrinjski Mostar
24.08% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)27.61% (0.004999999999999 0)48.3% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.1% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)60.89% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.08% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)80.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Urartu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)41.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)77.97% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)60.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Urartu 24.08%
    Zrinjski Mostar 48.3%
    Draw 27.61%
UrartuDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.08%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 14.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 48.3%

How you voted: Urartu vs Zrinjski Mostar

Urartu
29.6%
Draw
18.3%
Zrinjski Mostar
52.1%
71