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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
2 - 3
Urartu

Bilbija (27'), Kis (94' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Grigoryan (74', 90+1' pen.), Maksimenko (105+3')
Zrinjski Mostar win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Urartu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

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Last Game: Urartu 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 11 at 4pm in Champions League
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Urartu

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Last Game: Urartu 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 11 at 4pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Urartu had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Urartu win it was 0-1 (6.52%).

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawUrartu
58.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)23.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)17.9% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)53.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (0.016000000000002 0.02)74.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)48.9% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Urartu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 58.39%
    Urartu 17.9%
    Draw 23.69%
Zrinjski MostarDrawUrartu
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.9%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Urartu

Zrinjski Mostar
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Urartu
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 4pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Urartu
0-1
Zrinjski Mostar

Margaryan (33'), Tsymbalyuk (90+5')
Senic (89')
Bilbija (50'), Barisic (52'), Stanic (66'), Zlomislic (78'), Senic (90')
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