Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.

Result
Stal Mielec	Draw	Korona Kielce
35.03% ( 0.52)	26.02% ( -0.11)	38.96% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65% (

0.54)

50.35% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

0.47)

72.3% (

-0.47)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

0.58)

27.6% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

0.74)

63.13% (

-0.73)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.02)

25.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

0.03)

60.14% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stal Mielec 35.03%

Korona Kielce 38.96%

Draw 26.01%

Stal Mielec	Draw	Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.03%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.96%