Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Korona Kielce
55.91% ( 0.36)	22.73% ( -0.09)	21.37% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

0.03)

44.81% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

0.02)

67.17% (

-0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

0.13)

15.86% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.94% (

0.24)

45.07% (

-0.24)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

-0.25)

35.02% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.24% (

-0.26)

71.76% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 55.9%

Korona Kielce 21.37%

Draw 22.73%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.9%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 21.37%