Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
1 - 0
Szczecin

Hoti (90+7')
Letniowski (17'), Arndt (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lisowski (39'), Bichakhchyan (41'), Gorgon (45+2'), Gamboa (55')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

LKS Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Gent
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LKS Lodz in this match.

Result
LKS LodzDrawPogon Szczecin
39.53% (-0.587 -0.59)25.24% (0.294 0.29)35.22% (0.285 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (-1.312 -1.31)46.92% (1.305 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (-1.238 -1.24)69.17% (1.23 1.23)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.879 -0.88)23.5% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-1.281 -1.28)57.53% (1.275 1.28)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.455 -0.45)25.85% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.616 -0.62)60.82% (0.608 0.61)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 39.53%
    Pogon Szczecin 35.22%
    Draw 25.24%
LKS LodzDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.255 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.162 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.22%