Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
0 - 1
Warta Poznan


Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zurawski (52'), Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Warta Poznan
Friday, October 6 at 5.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Warta Poznan in this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawWarta Poznan
31.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)27.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)41.59% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.038 -0.04)76.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)32.59% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.13% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 31.32%
    Warta Poznan 41.58%
    Draw 27.09%
Stal MielecDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.32%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.64% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznan

Stal Mielec
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Warta Poznan
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0


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