Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Warta Poznan
36.98% ( -0.38)	28.07% ( 0.09)	34.95% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.46% (

-0.33)

58.54% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89% (

-0.26)

79.12% (

0.26)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

-0.4)

30.4% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

-0.47)

66.6% (

0.48)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

0.02)

31.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

0.02)

68.1% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 36.97%

Warta Poznan 34.95%

Draw 28.07%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Warta Poznan
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.97%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.95%