Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
0 - 1
Slask Wroclaw


Stavropoulos (33'), Plesnierowicz (38'), Bartkowski (42'), Szymonowicz (53'), Grobelny (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ince (18')
Magiera (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Slask Wroclaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Warta Poznan
Sunday, September 24 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slask Wroclaw win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slask Wroclaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slask Wroclaw in this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawSlask Wroclaw
34.34% (0.059000000000005 0.06)28.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)37.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)58.56% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)79.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Slask Wroclaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)30.03% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.107 -0.11)66.16% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 34.34%
    Slask Wroclaw 37.59%
    Draw 28.06%
Warta PoznanDrawSlask Wroclaw
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.59%