Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
1 - 2
Legia

Bilbija (30')
Canadija (32'), Bilbija (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jakovljevic (32' og.), Kramer (62')
Muci (56'), Hladun (79'), Kun (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawLegia Warsaw
46.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)23.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)29.78% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75% (0.012 0.01)42.25% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.34% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)18.42% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 46.4%
    Legia Warsaw 29.78%
    Draw 23.82%
Zrinjski MostarDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Legia

Zrinjski Mostar
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Legia Warsaw
18.2%
22
rhs 2.0


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