UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

McGinn (90+4')
McGinn (24'), Cash (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hrvanovic (22'), Bilbija (64')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 10 at 5.45pm in FA Cup

Next Game: Aston Villa vs. Everton
Sunday, January 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
43.33% ( -0)	25.4% ( -0)	31.26% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

48.67% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

70.78% (

-0)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-0)

22.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

-0)

55.91%

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

29.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

65.1% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 43.33%

Zrinjski Mostar 31.26%

Draw 25.4%

Aston Villa	Draw	Zrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.26%