Conference League
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • John McGinn 24' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 64' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Aldin Hrvanovic 22'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Bilbija 64'

Aston Villa vs Zrinjski Mostar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Legia 3 - 2 Aston Villa

Zrinjski Mostar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Zrinjski Mostar 4 - 3 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result

Aston Villa 43.33% (-0.01)
Draw 25.4% (-0.01)
Zrinjski Mostar 31.26% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.67% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.22% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.78% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.13%
Under 4.5 85.87% (-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 77.6% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.91%

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5 70.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.16% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.1% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 43.33%
Draw 25.4%
Zrinjski Mostar 31.26%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
Zrinjski Mostar
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 31.26%